Rural deserts
Why are maternity deserts forming, and what is happening to rural hospitals and obstetric units?
More than a third of US counties, 1,104 in all, are maternity care deserts with no birthing hospital and no obstetric clinician. 107 obstetric units closed in just 2021 and 2022, and North Dakota tops the list with 73.6% of its counties classified as deserts.
The problem
Rural access is deteriorating because the national hospital landscape relies on low-volume essential services that the standard hospital business model does not reliably support. Maternity care, emergency access, and inpatient capacity can disappear before a community registers as a full closure, leaving residents with longer travel, higher clinical risk, and fewer local options.
The recommendation
Position rural hospitals and obstetric units as essential infrastructure, then fund them with an explicit stability strategy rather than hoping volume will cover fixed costs. The recommended response is a tiered rural-access program that identifies early service-line losses, targets financially vulnerable hospitals, and links payment support to preserving emergency, obstetric, and transfer capacity.
The gap
The scale of maternity care deserts, who is exposed, and where they concentrate, set against the separate rural-hospital-closure map.
Women living in counties without full maternity access
March of Dimes 2024. About 150,000 babies were born in a desert in 2022.
Read it this way The 5.5 million figure for no-or-limited-access counties is more than double the 2.3 million figure for full deserts alone, showing limited-access counties, not just full deserts, account for most of the affected population. The 150,000 births in a desert in 2022 is a separate flow measure and isn't part of these two population bars. Use this chart to distinguish current access loss from early warning indicators, then connect the evidence to the recommendation to intervene before a service-line loss becomes a full rural access desert.
⊞ data table⬇ CSV
| Group | Women |
|---|---|
| Women in no or limited access counties | 5500000 |
| Women of reproductive age in full deserts | 2300000 |
| Babies born in deserts (2022) | 150000 |
March of Dimes, Nowhere to Go: Maternity Care Deserts Across the US, 2024 · 2024 · source
Rural share of maternity care deserts
Based on the 2022 report edition. The urban share is derived as the complement of the published 61.5% rural share.
Read it this way Nearly two in three maternity care deserts sit in rural counties, confirming this is predominantly a rural-access problem, though the 38.5% urban share means it isn't exclusively one. This slice is from the 2022 report edition, one cycle earlier than the 35.1% desert-share headline used elsewhere on this dashboard. Use this chart to distinguish current access loss from early warning indicators, then connect the evidence to the recommendation to intervene before a service-line loss becomes a full rural access desert.
⊞ data table⬇ CSV
| County type | Share of deserts (%) |
|---|---|
| Rural counties | 61.5 |
| Urban counties (derived complement) | 38.5 |
March of Dimes, Nowhere to Go: Maternity Care Deserts Across the US, 2022 · 2022 · source
States with the highest maternity-care-desert share (2024)
Share of each state's counties classified as maternity care deserts. Reference line is the national 35.1%.
Read it this way All six states shown sit well above the 35.1% national reference line, with North Dakota at 73.6%, more than double the national rate. This ranks only the worst states, so it can't show how many states fall below the national average. Use this chart to distinguish current access loss from early warning indicators, then connect the evidence to the recommendation to intervene before a service-line loss becomes a full rural access desert.
⊞ data table⬇ CSV
| State | Desert share of counties (%) |
|---|---|
| North Dakota | 73.6 |
| South Dakota | 57.6 |
| Oklahoma | 51.9 |
| Missouri | 51.6 |
| Nebraska | 51.3 |
| Arkansas | 50.7 |
March of Dimes, Nowhere to Go: Maternity Care Deserts Across the US, 2024 · 2024 · source
Share of a state's rural hospitals vulnerable to closure (2026)
Chartis 2026 financial-risk model. This is a different measure from desert share and a different source.
Read it this way Even the best case shown, Kansas at 44%, means more than 4 in 10 of its rural hospitals are at closure risk, rising to 61% in Tennessee. This is a distinct 2026 financial-risk measure from the desert-share chart beside it, so a state can rank high here without necessarily ranking high on maternity-desert share. Use this chart to distinguish current access loss from early warning indicators, then connect the evidence to the recommendation to intervene before a service-line loss becomes a full rural access desert.
⊞ data table⬇ CSV
| State | Rural hospitals vulnerable to closure (%) |
|---|---|
| Tennessee | 61 |
| Arkansas | 55 |
| Florida | 52 |
| Kansas | 44 |
Chartis Center for Rural Health, 2026 Rural Health State of the State · 2026 · source
Why it's happening
The mechanism behind the deserts: rural hospital closures, accelerating obstetric-unit loss, thin finances, and the Medicaid-expansion lever.
Rural hospital closures by year, 2010 to 2026
Sheps Center. Complete means no health services remain, converted means some services remain. The 2021 dip reflects COVID relief funding. 2025 and 2026 are provisional.
Read it this way The tallest bars cluster in 2015 and 2019-2020, and the visible dip at 2021 lines up with COVID relief funding rather than a real recovery, since totals climbed again right after. Because 2025 and 2026 are provisional, don't read the recent right-hand end of the chart as a confirmed slowdown yet. Use this chart to distinguish current access loss from early warning indicators, then connect the evidence to the recommendation to intervene before a service-line loss becomes a full rural access desert.
⊞ data table⬇ CSV
| Year | Complete | Converted | Total closures |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2011 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 2012 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 2013 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 2014 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 2015 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| 2016 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 2017 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 2018 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 2019 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| 2020 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| 2021 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 2022 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2023 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 2024 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
UNC Cecil G. Sheps Center for Health Services Research, Rural Hospital Closures · 2026 · source
Rural obstetric units eliminated, cumulative (Chartis report editions)
Cumulative rural obstetric units eliminated since 2011, by report edition. The 2026 total (331) is about 27% of all rural OB units.
Read it this way The cumulative count rises across all three report editions, and the 331 total is about 27% of all rural OB units, so rural obstetric access has been shrinking continuously rather than stabilizing. Because each point is a cumulative total from a different report edition with a different window, the chart shows growing scale, not a year-by-year closure rate. Use this chart to distinguish current access loss from early warning indicators, then connect the evidence to the recommendation to intervene before a service-line loss becomes a full rural access desert.
⊞ data table⬇ CSV
| Chartis report | Cumulative OB units eliminated | Window |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 267 | 2011 to 2021 |
| 2025 | 293 | 2011 to 2023 |
| 2026 | 331 | 2011 to 2024 |
Chartis Center for Rural Health, Rural Health State of the State (2024 to 2026 editions) · 2026 · source
Share of rural hospitals operating in the red, 2024 to 2026
Chartis report editions. Lower is better.
Read it this way The share of rural hospitals in the red fell each year, from 50% to 41.2%, but the caveat shows that improvement rides on a still-thin national median margin, 1.0% in 2025 and 2.0% in 2026. So hospitals in the red are shrinking in number while the survivors remain financially fragile, not clearly turning a strong profit. Use this chart to distinguish current access loss from early warning indicators, then connect the evidence to the recommendation to intervene before a service-line loss becomes a full rural access desert.
Caveat The companion national median operating margin is not published for the 2024 report. Chartis reports it at 1.0% (2025) and 2.0% (2026), so the red-share improvement tracks a thin but recovering margin.
⊞ data table⬇ CSV
| Chartis report | Operating in the red (%) | National median operating margin (%) |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50 | not published |
| 2025 | 46 | 1 |
| 2026 | 41.2 | 2 |
Chartis Center for Rural Health, Rural Health State of the State (2024 to 2026 editions) · 2026 · source
Rural hospitals in the red: Medicaid expansion vs non-expansion states (2026)
Chartis 2026. Median operating margin was +2.9% in expansion states versus -0.7% in non-expansion states.
Read it this way Non-expansion states have a rural-hospital red-margin rate 17 points higher than expansion states, and the underlying margins run positive (+2.9%) in expansion states versus negative (-0.7%) in non-expansion states. This is an association tied to one policy variable, so it doesn't rule out other state-level differences accounting for part of the gap. Use this chart to distinguish current access loss from early warning indicators, then connect the evidence to the recommendation to intervene before a service-line loss becomes a full rural access desert.
⊞ data table⬇ CSV
| Group | Operating in the red (%) | Median operating margin (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Medicaid expansion states | 34.9 | 2.9 |
| Non-expansion states | 52.2 | -0.7 |
Chartis Center for Rural Health, 2026 Rural Health State of the State · 2026 · source
Who bears it
The human cost, in drive time and in health risk, for a family stuck in a desert.
Drive time to the nearest birthing hospital (minutes)
Estimated drive time with no traffic. Reference line is the US average of 16 minutes.
Read it this way Maternity-desert residents can face drive times of up to 38 minutes, more than double the 16-minute US average, and even the rural average of 26 minutes runs well above the national figure. The desert figure is stated as a maximum ('up to'), so it isn't a strict apples-to-apples average like the other two bars. Use this chart to distinguish current access loss from early warning indicators, then connect the evidence to the recommendation to intervene before a service-line loss becomes a full rural access desert.
⊞ data table⬇ CSV
| Group | Drive time (minutes) |
|---|---|
| Maternity desert residents (up to) | 38 |
| Rural average | 26 |
| US average | 16 |
March of Dimes 2024, via Healthcare Brew · 2024 · source
Increased risk of preterm birth associated with limited maternity access
Increased risk associated with living in a desert or low-access county. This is an association, not a proven cause. Pre-pregnancy hypertension is about 1.3 times higher in deserts.
Read it this way Both full deserts (13%) and low-access counties (11%) show a similarly elevated preterm-birth risk, so the effect isn't confined to the most extreme access gap. As the caveat states, this is an association: the chart can't establish that limited maternity access itself causes the higher preterm-birth rate. Use this chart to distinguish current access loss from early warning indicators, then connect the evidence to the recommendation to intervene before a service-line loss becomes a full rural access desert.
Caveat March of Dimes reports these as associations, not causal effects.
⊞ data table⬇ CSV
| County type | Increased preterm-birth risk (%) |
|---|---|
| Full maternity deserts | 13 |
| Low-access counties | 11 |
March of Dimes, Nowhere to Go: Maternity Care Deserts Across the US, 2024 · 2024 · source
Geography
The same question, state by state and then county by county. Pick a state in the filter above to drill into its counties.
Hospital closure-risk score
County · direct countEach tile is a state. Pick a state in the Scope control above to drill into its counties.
CMS Hospital Cost Report / HealthPulse county summaries · 2024 · source
Transportation barriers
County · modeled prevalence (95% CI)Each tile is a state. Pick a state in the Scope control above to drill into its counties.
CDC PLACES (model-based small-area estimates) · 2024 · source
Why this matters
The number of rural obstetric units eliminated has climbed every report cycle, from 267 in 2024 to 331 in 2026, now about 27% of all rural OB units, and 107 units closed in just 2021 and 2022 alone, roughly 1 in every 25. The finances explain why: even as the share of rural hospitals operating in the red improved from 50% to 41.2% between 2024 and 2026, the national median operating margin remains thin at just 2.0%, and Medicaid expansion states run a 17-point-lower red-margin rate than non-expansion states (34.9% vs 52.2%). Leadership should care because this is an accelerating, financially driven closure trend, not a stable baseline of underserved geography.
Recommended actions
- Target reimbursement floors or supplemental payments for low-volume rural obstetric units, since low birth volume and low reimbursement are the cited closure drivers.
- Prioritize the six highest-desert-share states (North Dakota, South Dakota, Oklahoma, Missouri, Nebraska, Arkansas) for any pilot intervention.
- Monitor the Chartis closure-risk states (Tennessee, Arkansas, Florida, Kansas) as an early-warning list, since even the best of them, Kansas, still has 44% of rural hospitals at risk.
- Watch the Medicaid-expansion margin gap (+2.9% vs -0.7%) as evidence for the value of expansion in stabilizing rural obstetric finances, without treating it as proof of a single causal lever.
- Track cumulative rural OB units eliminated, currently 331 or about 27% of all rural OB units, each Chartis report cycle as the top-line KPI for whether the trend is slowing.
The recommendation
Therefore, position rural hospitals and obstetric units as essential infrastructure, then fund them with an explicit stability strategy rather than hoping volume will cover fixed costs. The recommended response is a tiered rural-access program that identifies early service-line losses, targets financially vulnerable hospitals, and links payment support to preserving emergency, obstetric, and transfer capacity.
Demographic slice geography (county) only, March of Dimes and Sheps Center data has no native race or income field.
Sources
- March of Dimes, Nowhere to Go: Maternity Care Deserts Across the US, 2024 · 2024
- March of Dimes, Nowhere to Go: Maternity Care Deserts Across the US, 2022 · 2022
- Chartis Center for Rural Health, 2026 Rural Health State of the State · 2026
- UNC Cecil G. Sheps Center for Health Services Research, Rural Hospital Closures · 2026